The country is abuzz about Romney's choice of Wisconsin Congressman, Paul Ryan, as the vice presidential nominee.
Many have criticized the so-called "risky" choice, arguing that Ryan fails the simple two-pronged criterion for nominees: (1) Does the candidate enlarge the political base, and (2) does (s)he do nothing to alienate the existing political base?
Regarding the first issue, presidential nominees often choose a running mate who is from a swing-state or has slightly different political viewpoints, with the hope that they will garner new votes. Ryan offers neither of these benefits. It is uncertain, at best, that he would carry his home-state of Wisconsin-- a state which, although "moderate," swung Blue for the last six elections. Furthermore, as Ryan and Romney belong to the same ideological camp on most major issues, Ryan offers no advantage in capturing votes that would not have already been cast for Romney.
Not only is Ryan not likely to bring in new Republican votes, his policies have alienated certain members of the national Republican
constituency. Recipients of entitlements like Medicare and Social Security, for which Ryan has notoriously attempted to cut and privatize, are especially likely to view Ryan disfavorably. This could be disastrous for Romney in Retirement Mecca, otherwise known as the Great (Swing) State of Florida.
So that leaves us to wonder: Why Ryan? Aside from a charming smile and genuinely nice attitude (yeah, that's how we do in Wisconsin), Ryan is most known for his
federal budget proposals, which emphasize slashing federal entitlement programs to offset huge tax cuts. While Ryan has been lambasted as an ideologue (it is well-known that Ryan made everyone on his staff read Ayn Rand) and an extremist, one cannot deny that he is consistent, articulate, and well-informed about his particular vision for the economy, however much you might disagree with it.
By choosing Ryan as the VP nominee, then, Romney explicitly makes this election about the economy. Each party now represents very different, and, yes, very thoroughly reasoned approaches to the economy and the federal deficit. This will, as it stands now, not be an election about personalities, flip-flopping, bridges to nowhere, and other red herrings, but actual (economic) policies. Every political scientist in the country should be falling over dead from shock right about now.
Of course, things may change. Scandals may arise, gaffaws may be made (I'm looking at you, Vice President Biden). Or maybe someone will remember that there is still a war in Afghanistan, a raging domestic battle over women's reproductive health, and an educational crisis that also could use some attention. Regardless, as it stands now, the election is shaping up to be a contest of substance over spectacle.